Fiji’s tropical low

RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Tropical Low

Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 1 issued 1508 UTC Thursday 27 February 2014

Current and Past Cyclone Details
Forecast Cyclone Details
(at 24, 48 and 72 hours from issue)

Current Location and Intensity Number

Very Destructive Hurricane Force Winds

Destructive Storm Force Winds

Damaging Gale Force Winds

Past Track and Movement

Past Location and Intensity Number

Forecast Location and Intensity Number

Very Destructive Wind Boundary

Destructive Wind Boundary

Gale Force Wind Boundary

Most Likely Future Track

Range of Likely Tracks over 72 hours

The forecast path shown above is the Nadi’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.

Name:  Tropical Low

Details:

Time (UTC)
Intensity Category
Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)

0hr
12 pm February 27
tropical low
15.7S
179.4E
85

+6hr
6 pm February 27
tropical low
15.7S
179.8E
110

+12hr
12 am February 28
tropical low
15.8S
179.7W
140

+18hr
6 am February 28
tropical low
16.1S
179.1W
165

+24hr
12 pm February 28
tropical low
16.8S
178.5W
195

+36hr
12 am March 1
tropical low
18.5S
177.7W
255

+48hr
12 pm March 1
1
20.3S
176.9W
315

+60hr
12 am March 2
1
21.6S
176.3W
405

+72hr
12 pm March 2
1
22.5S
175.8W
490

Fiji time is UTC +13 hours.
For example, 0000 UTC Saturday is 1200 Saturday Fiji time.
For example, 1800 UTC Saturday is 0600 Sunday Fiji time.
Category Cyclone 1 has mean winds 34-47 knots with a central pressure greater than 985 hPa
Category Cyclone 2 has mean winds 48-63 knots with a central pressure 985-970 hPa
Category Cyclone 3 has mean winds 64-85 knots with a central pressure 970-945 hPa
Category Cyclone 4 has mean winds 86-107 knots with a central pressure 945-910 hPa
Category Cyclone 5 has mean winds greater than 107 knots with a central pressure less than 910 hPa

The next TC Forecast Track Map is scheduled to be issued within six hours.

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