Compiled Sun 29 March 2020
Bob McDavitt’s ideas for sailing around the South Pacific.
Disclaimer: Weather is a mix of pattern and chaos; these ideas are from the patterned world.
There is a brief MJO active period expected in South Pacific during next two weeks and this increase the chances of a tropical cyclone.
Map of Tropical Cyclone formation potential :
At this stage the extended GFS model is starting to show a tropical low may form over Vanuatu around Thu 2 April and this MAY develop into a tropical cyclone for New Caledonia from 5 to 10 April and then move off Southeast to east of North Island during Easter.
Since most of the South Pacific has closed borders or increased restrictions on people from countries with Covid19 outbreaks there are NO vessels that I know of planning to sail around at present, so no need for my weekly blog.
I’ll resume my blog when we can start sailing again
Meanwhile, work on staying safe.