Bob McDavitt’s ideas for sailing around the South Pacific.
Disclaimer: Weather is a mix of pattern and chaos; these ideas are from the patterned world.
Compiled Sunday16 June 2024
Lisa Blair establishes NEW sailing records
Lisa Blair is a solo adventurer sailor from Sydney and skipper of CLIMATE ACTION NOW or CAN
She combines measurements of oceanid pollution with the sport of establishing sailing records, to promote awareness of the message that we need to make changes for the sake of the health of the ocean.
On 25 May 2022 she became the fastest person to sail solo non-stop and unassisted around Antarctica, slicing 10 days off the original record
She added this record to her ‘Around Australia’ record (58 days) established on 17 Dec 2018.
This year she added the ‘Across the ditch’ Sydney to Auckland World record to her portfolio (to be ratified by WSSRC) in 8 days 3 hours and 19 minutes slicing more than 4 days off the record
On 6 April She was greeted at the finish line with a hooting welcome escort by hosts RNZYS to Westhaven Marina.
Then on 24 May 2024 she added the “Around New Zealand” record to her portfolio , doing a solo non-stop unassisted navigation over NZ in just under 17 days.
The record, to be adjudicated by the RNZYS in collaboration (CYCA) and WSSRC, required her course to enclose the whole of New Zealand including all rocks and islands lying within 8nm of the mainland.
“I’m sailing to save our oceans and to show people that as individuals we all have the power to create change, it just starts with one action.”… Lisa Blair.
I am proud to be a sponsor for CAN and to have been offering virtual weather guidance to Lisa during her adventures.
CAN arrived back in Sydney on Saturday 15 June nd is planning to sail around the Arctic ocean next.
TROPICS
The latest cyclone activity report is at zoom.earth and tropic.ssec.wisc.edu and Tropical Cyclone Potential is from www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/index.html
There is now a risk of cyclone formation off Mexico next few days.
WEATHER ZONES
Weather Zones Mid-week GFS model showing isobars, winds, waves (purple), rain (red), MT (Monsoonal trough), STR (Subtropical Ridge), SPCZ (South Pacific Convergence Zone) CZ (Convergence Zone)
Rain Accumulation next five days from windy.com
The South Pacific Convergence zone is a narrow zone mainly along 10 to 12S from Solomon Island eastwards to Tokelau, with no signs of development this week
There are passing troughs in the tropics – as extension from the mid-latitudes, with one passing Tonga on local Monday/Tuesday and another around Sun/Mon 23/24 June. The first passing trough is expected to travel east and reach Tahiti on local Fri/Sat 21/22 June.
HIGHS and LOWS
HIGH H1 is travelling ENE along 35 to 25S to be south of Tahiti mid-week.
Low L1 is moving across central MZ tonight with squalls on its northern side and travelling quickly southeast. It is followed by a gap between systems – with light winds.
By mid-week a new low L2 is expected to form near 30S 180 (comes from a leapfrog aloft. This Low is expected to travel SE and deepen quickly and should bring some SW winds onto Tonga area. A HIGH H3 is expected to travel from Southern Ocean to Chathams. This makes a squash zone between L2 and H2 with strong easterly winds onto eastern North Island.
Low L3 remains inside the Tasman Sea all week, rotating around and remaining intense thanks to a closed upper Low. It is a breeding ground of squall zones, one of these reaching NZ around Friday. The Low itself may reach NZ early next week. this depends on a new High H3 which this week is stuck over Australia.
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If you would like more details about your voyage, then check metbob.com to see what I offer.
Or Facebook at /www.facebook.com/metbobnz/
Weathergram with graphics is at metbob.wordpress.com (subscribe/unsubscribe at bottom).
Weathergram archive (with translator) is at weathergram.blogspot.co.nz.
Contact is bob@metbob.com or text 64277762212.
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MetBob 